dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Donte DiVincenzo rebounds

Donte DiVincenzo: reboundsFITTED MODEL

G · MIN · NBA · baseline 4.0/game (2026, 90 games)
3.9
Median
1.1-7.2
80% range
2.2-5.5
50% range
8.3
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.13.97.2
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
1.0+93%
2.0+80%
3.0+62%
4.0+47%
5.0+31%
6.0+20%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 7053 G rebounds games, our 80% range covered 79.5% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Donte DiVincenzo player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts