dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Jericho Sims rebounds

Jericho Sims: reboundsFITTED MODEL

C · MIL · NBA · baseline 5.5/game (2026, 70 games)
5.1
Median
1.5-9.8
80% range
3.0-7.5
50% range
11.3
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.55.19.8
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+86%
4.0+63%
6.0+39%
8.0+21%
10.0+9%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 4136 C rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Jericho Sims player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts