dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Anthony Davis rebounds

Anthony Davis: reboundsFITTED MODEL

F · DAL · NBA · baseline 10.3/game (2026, 24 games)
9.9
Median
6.0-14.7
80% range
7.9-12.4
50% range
16.2
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

6.09.914.7
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
4.0+98%
6.0+90%
8.0+74%
10.0+49%
12.0+29%
14.0+14%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 7752 F rebounds games, our 80% range covered 80.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Anthony Davis player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts