dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Moussa Diabate rebounds

Moussa Diabate: reboundsFITTED MODEL

F · CHA · NBA · baseline 8.6/game (2026, 79 games)
8.3
Median
4.3-13.0
80% range
6.3-10.7
50% range
14.5
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

4.38.313.0
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
4.0+92%
6.0+77%
8.0+54%
10.0+32%
12.0+15%
14.0+6%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 7752 F rebounds games, our 80% range covered 80.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Moussa Diabate player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts