dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Davion Mitchell assists

Davion Mitchell: assistsFITTED MODEL

G · MIA · NBA · baseline 6.3/game (2026, 74 games)
6.1
Median
2.5-10.3
80% range
4.1-8.2
50% range
11.6
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

2.56.110.3
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
2.0+93%
4.0+76%
6.0+51%
8.0+27%
10.0+11%
12.0+4%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 9094 G assists games, our 80% range covered 80.4% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Davion Mitchell player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts