dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Malik Beasley three-pointers

Malik Beasley: three-pointersFITTED MODEL

G · DET · NBA · baseline 3.7/game (2025, 93 games)
3.5
Median
1.3-6.2
80% range
2.4-4.9
50% range
7.2
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.33.56.2
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

three-pointersProbability
1.0+95%
2.0+81%
3.0+62%
4.0+41%
5.0+24%
6.0+12%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 9454 G three-pointers games, our 80% range covered 80.2% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Malik Beasley player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts