dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Andre Drummond rebounds

Andre Drummond: reboundsFITTED MODEL

C · PHI · NBA · baseline 7.6/game (2026, 78 games)
7.1
Median
3.3-12.4
80% range
5.1-9.9
50% range
14.0
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

3.37.112.4
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+97%
4.0+85%
6.0+66%
8.0+42%
10.0+24%
12.0+12%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 4136 C rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Andre Drummond player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts