dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Kristaps Porzingis assists

Kristaps Porzingis: assistsFITTED MODEL

C · GS · NBA · baseline 2.5/game (2026, 37 games)
2.1
Median
0.2-5.0
80% range
1.1-3.5
50% range
6.0
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.22.15.0
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
1.0+80%
2.0+60%
3.0+39%
4.0+20%
5.0+10%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 1376 C assists games, our 80% range covered 77.4% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Kristaps Porzingis player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts