dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Kelly Oubre Jr. rebounds

Kelly Oubre Jr.: reboundsFITTED MODEL

G · PHI · NBA · baseline 5.1/game (2026, 65 games)
5.0
Median
1.5-8.8
80% range
3.1-6.9
50% range
10.2
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.55.08.8
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+86%
4.0+64%
6.0+35%
8.0+15%
10.0+6%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 7053 G rebounds games, our 80% range covered 79.5% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Kelly Oubre Jr. player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts