dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Mo Bamba rebounds

Mo Bamba: reboundsFITTED MODEL

C · UTAH · NBA · baseline 5.0/game (2026, 5 games)
4.7
Median
1.1-9.4
80% range
2.6-7.1
50% range
10.9
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.14.79.4
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+81%
4.0+58%
6.0+34%
8.0+18%
10.0+8%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 4136 C rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Mo Bamba player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts