dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Karl-Anthony Towns rebounds

Karl-Anthony Towns: reboundsFITTED MODEL

C · NY · NBA · baseline 11.3/game (2026, 99 games)
11.5
Median
6.0-16.6
80% range
8.5-13.9
50% range
18.6
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

6.011.516.6
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
6.0+90%
8.0+78%
10.0+62%
12.0+44%
14.0+24%
16.0+12%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 4136 C rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Karl-Anthony Towns player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts