dfsforge / MLB forecasts / Reese Olson strikeouts (pitcher)

Reese Olson: strikeouts (pitcher)FITTED MODEL

P · DET · MLB · baseline 5.0/game (2025, 13 games)
5.0
Median
2.1-8.2
80% range
3.1-6.6
50% range
9.3
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

2.15.08.2
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

strikeouts (pitcher)Probability
3.0+77%
4.0+64%
5.0+51%
6.0+32%
7.0+21%
8.0+12%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 2331 P strikeouts (pitcher) games, our 80% range covered 81.1% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Reese Olson player page · all MLB forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts